pga tour scoring average by par

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PGA TOUR Player Stats 2022-23

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Golf compendium, yearly pga tour scoring leaders (byron nelson award).

Scoring Average Leaders on the PGA Tour By Year

Using adjusted scoring average, popular posts from this blog, golfers with the most wins in major championships, 2024 masters tournament winner and final scores.

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quick coaching

6 tips for playing a demanding par 3.

A view of the 17th green at THE PLAYERS Championship on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. (Photo by David Cannon/Getty Images)

Here are some tips to help you:

• Choose The Right Club: Selecting the right club is crucial for a good shot. Consider the distance, wind, and height of the hole before making your decision. Don't be afraid to take one more club; then choke down and swing smoothly.
• Study The Green: Look for any slopes, undulations, or hazards around the green that might affect your shot. This will help you determine where to best hit your shot...or at least attempt to.
• Visualize Your Shot: Before hitting the ball, visualize your shot, including that ever critical landing spot. This will help you focus and increase your chances of success.
• Take a Few Practice Swings: Take a couple of practice swings to get a feel for the swing you'll need to hit the shot you are visualizing.
• Keep Your Swing Smooth: Avoid rushing or hitting the ball too hard. Keep your swing smooth and controlled to ensure accuracy.
• Stay Positive and Confidant: Even if you don't hit a perfect shot, stay positive and focused. Don't let a bad shot affect your next one.

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Who Holds The Record For The Lowest PGA Tour Scoring Average?

Tiger Woods holds the record for the lowest scoring average, and he has six full seasons better than anyone else has ever managed

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The list of the top scoring averages in PGA Tour history further underlines Tiger Woods’ dominance in the sport. 

The 15-time Major winner not only holds the record for the best adjusted scoring average ever on Tour, he also owns the top six spots on the list, with his 1999 (68.43), 2000 (67.79), 2002 (68.56), 2003 (68.41), 2007 (67.79) and 2009 (68.05) seasons.

Woods’ best scoring average year was his record-breaking 2000 season. 

In 2000, Woods won nine of the 20 tournaments he entered, including three of the four Majors (he completed the Tiger Slam at the 2021 Masters) and six consecutive PGA Tour events (the longest streak since Ben Hogan in 1948). He also broke or tied nine tournament records in his dominant 15-stroke US Open victory that year.

Every year, the PGA Tour hands out the Byron Nelson award to the player with the lowest adjusted scoring average.

The award was named after Nelson, who held the lowest actual (which differs from adjusted) PGA Tour scoring average record of 68.34 in 1945 for decades before Tiger Woods’ 68.17 in 2000.

Since 1980, scoring average has been weighted to take into account the stroke average of the rest of the field.

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Scottie Scheffler is the next best behind Woods in seventh place, after his incredible display of ball striking in the 2022-2023 PGA Tour season saw him put together an adjusted scoring average of 68.63.

The only other players not named Tiger Woods in the all-time top 10 are Vijay Singh in 2003 (68.65) and Rory McIlroy in 2022 (68.67).

Top 10 PGA Tour adjusted scoring averages

• 1. 67.79 — Tiger Woods, 2000
• 2. 67.79 — Tiger Woods, 2007
• 3. 68.05 — Tiger Woods, 2009
• 4. 68.41 — Tiger Woods, 2003
• 5. 68.43 — Tiger Woods, 1999
• 6. 68.56 — Tiger Woods, 2002
• 7. 68.63 — Scottie Scheffler, 2023
• 8. 68.65 — Vijay Singh, 2003
• 9. 68.66 — Tiger Woods, 2005
• 10. 68.67 — Rory McIlroy, 2022

Byron Nelson award winners

Tiger Woods is the only man to have beaten Scottie Scheffler's 2022-23 PGA Tour scoring average

• 2023 — Scottie Scheffler, 68.63
• 2022 — Rory McIlroy, 68.67
• 2021 — Jon Rahm, 69.30
• 2020 — Webb Simpson, 68.98
• 2019 — Rory McIlroy, 69.06
• 2018 — Dustin Johnson, 68.70
• 2017 — Jordan Spieth, 68.85
• 2016 — Dustin Johnson, 69.17
• 2015 — Jordan Spieth, 68.94
• 2014 — Rory McIlroy, 68.83
• 2013 — Steve Stricker, 68.95
• 2012 — Rory McIlroy, 68.87
• 2011 — Luke Donald, 68.86
• 2010 — Matt Kuchar, 69.61
• 2009 — Tiger Woods, 68.05
• 2008 — Sergio Garcia, 69.12
• 2007 — Tiger Woods, 67.79
• 2006 — Tiger Woods, 68.11
• 2005 — Tiger Woods, 68.66
• 2004 — Vijay Singh, 68.84
• 2003 — Tiger Woods, 68.41
• 2002 — Tiger Woods, 68.56
• 2001 — Tiger Woods, 68.81
• 2000 — Tiger Woods, 67.79
• 1999 — Tiger Woods, 68.43
• 1998 — David Duval, 69.13
• 1997 — Nick Price, 68.98
• 1996 — Tom Lehman, 69.32
• 1995 — Greg Norman, 69.06
• 1994 — Greg Norman, 68.81
• 1993 — Greg Norman, 68.90
• 1992 — Fred Couples, 69.38
• 1991 — Fred Couples, 69.59
• 1990 — Greg Norman, 69.10
• 1989 — Greg Norman, 69.49
• 1988 — Greg Norman, 69.38
• 1987 — David Frost, 70.09
• 1986 — Scott Hoch, 70.08
• 1985 — Don Pooley, 70.36
• 1984 — Calvin Peete, 70.56
• 1983 — Raymond Floyd, 70.61
• 1982 — Tom Kite, 70.21
• 1981 — Tom Kite, 69.80
• 1980 — Lee Trevino, 69.73

What is adjusted scoring average?

Adjusted scoring average, which takes the stroke average of the entire field into account, differs from actual scoring average, which is the mean average of a golfer’s strokes over the course of a season.

According to the PGA Tour, the adjusted scoring average is: “The weighted scoring average which takes the stroke average of the field into account. It is computed by adding a player's total strokes to an adjustment and dividing by the total rounds played. The adjustment is computed by determining the stroke average of the field for each round played. This average is subtracted from par to create an adjustment for each round. A player accumulates these adjustments for each round played. ”

The stat is basically a more accurate representation of scoring average as it takes into account the course, tournament and field.

Joel Kulasingham is freelance writer for Golf Monthly. He has worked as a sports reporter and editor in New Zealand for more than five years, covering a wide range of sports including golf, rugby and football. He moved to London in 2023 and writes for several publications in the UK and abroad. He is a life-long sports nut and has been obsessed with golf since first swinging a club at the age of 13. These days he spends most of his time watching, reading and writing about sports, and playing mediocre golf at courses around London.

Get to know the South Korean LPGA Tour player, Hae Ran Ryu, a little bit better here

By Matt Cradock Published 21 April 24

The World No.1 leads by a single shot going into the final round at Harbour Town, as Scheffler looks for yet another title in 2024

By James Nursey Last updated 21 April 24

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The crucial par-5 strategy peak Tiger Woods used—why it matters for you

Of the many statistics that Tiger Woods dominated throughout his early-career run from the late 1990s into the early 2000s, arguably none was more significant than his play on the par 5s. Tiger led the PGA Tour in par-5 scoring average in every season from 1997 through 2003, and not just by a couple hundredths. He led by wide margins, which when added up over the course of a round and a tournament, largely contributed to his dominance.

In playing these holes well under par—he averaged around 4.4 during that stretch—it may surprise you to learn that he wasn’t focusing on making birdies. Sure, that was the end goal, but Woods was focused on limiting the number of bogeys he made on par 5s.

In fact, it was part of his five goals that he had for every round, which according to course-management expert Scott Fawcett , were:

1. Avoid bogeys on par 5s 2. Avoid 3-putts 3. Avoid double bogeys 4. Avoid blown easy saves 5. Avoid bogeys inside 150 yards

(Editor’s Note: For more on the Tiger 5 and other course-management insight, watch our Happy Hour webinar with Fawcett , who spoke to Golf Digest+ members for over an hour and answered questions.)

RELATED: 6 things I learned from tour pros at the 2024 Players Championship

Woods figured out that if he could make six of fewer of these mistakes in a tournament, then he would win. What’s shocking is how they are all about not making mistakes. They’re not about making more birdies and eagles.

On the par 5s specifically, it is fascinating that by trying to avoid bogeys, Woods made more birdies and dominated those holes compared to the rest of the tour. What can we learn from his strategy? That’s what Luke Kerr-Dineen and I discussed on this episode of the Golf IQ podcast, which you can listen to here .

The par-5 mindset mistake

Often we step up to the par 5s thinking that since these are the easier holes, we need to make something happen. Play aggressively, hit it close, make birdie or an easy par. Yet in trying to force good things, we actually make crucial strategic mistakes that cause our scores to balloon.

Instead of approaching a par 5 and thinking, How can I make birdie or par? , start thinking, How can I make sure I avoid bogey, double or worse? It will free you up to play less aggressively, and in turn, your scoring average will drop.

The 2 common mistakes

1. Out of the hole too soon: Since par 5s are the longest holes, they have the most opportunities to get out of play. A wild tee shot, a botched layup or a poor iron shot all can lead to quick bogeys or worse.

Focus on keeping your ball in play off the tee, even if that means taking a more conservative line. Resist the urge to try and swing harder because it’s a long hole. Remember, your goal is simply to get it in play and avoid the big number.

2. Getting too fancy on the layup: It’s easy to lose focus on a layup shot. You’re not aiming at any specific target like the hole or middle of the green, so you lose focus and simply swing with no real intention. That’s when bad things happen. You lay it up into the rough, bunker or water. Or worse, you top or chunk it right in front of you. There’s a quick bogey or double.

RELATED: It's the 'foolproof' aiming method that's popular on tour. Here's how to do it

Instead, be sure to pick a very specific, conservative target for your layup. Don’t force the ball too close to water, trees or other hazards. Even if that means you have a longer approach shot, that’s fine. You’re avoiding the big number.

So, during your next round, change your par-5 mindset and adopt Tiger’s approach, and remember, it’s OK to adapt your goal to your handicap. Tiger was trying to avoid bogeys, but if you’re a 10- or 20-handicap, maybe that means trying to avoid doubles or triples on par 5s. Whatever it is, the strategy remains the same.

For more on Tiger’s course-management keys, check out our entire Golf IQ episode here . And be sure to sign up for Golf Digest+ to watch our complete hour-plus Happy Hour with Scott Fawcett.

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Opinion & Analysis

Checking the numbers: going for it on par 5’s.

Every golfer is faced with the dilemma of whether to go for a par 5 on the second shot. I always questioned the validity of being aggressive on the par-5’s versus laying up. As my game improved as a junior golfer and collegiate golfer, I started to notice more golfers laying up on par-5’s in order to have a certain distance into the green where they felt comfortable taking a full swing into the flag.

In my statistical research, one of the glaring observations was that longer players on the PGA Tour have a strong correlation to par-5 scoring average. As I investigated this further, it became very simple to understand. Longer players on Tour typically had a higher percentage of  “go for it” on par 5’s. Thus, in my mind they were playing the par-5s more like a long par 4’s.

I also started to notice that some of the average and even shorter hitters on Tour could play the par 5’s quite well each year such as Bill Haas, Kevin Na, Webb Simpson and Steve Stricker. When I looked at these players who are not incredibly long off tee, but played well on the par 5’s, I noticed that they were going for par 5’s in two shots at a higher rate than golfers of similar driving distances and club head speeds.

This led to me trying to understand how “going for it” was defined by the Tour’s ShotLink data:

“A player is assumed to be going for the green if the second shot lands on or around the green or in the water. Note: ‘Around the green’ indicates the ball is within 30 yards of the edge of the green.”

The last note is very important to understand. If the ball on the second shot ends within 30 yards of the edge of the green, the ShotLink considers that a “go for it.” Thus, if a golfer has a 300-yard shot to the hole and he hits his 3-wood 250 yards, that could be considered a “go for it” as long as the ball is within 30 yards of the edge of the green.

I would imagine that a Tour player who knows he hits his 3-wood off the ground 250 yards onto a 300-yard shot would not consider himself to be “going for it.” However, since it would technically count as a “go for it,” that could infer that Tour players (and golfers in general) are better off advancing the ball closer to the hole rather than laying up to a certain yardage in order to get a full swing on the third shot.

I also wanted to look up the Tour averages of proximity to the cup on shots from various wedge distances.

As I wrote in my 2012 Pro Golf Synopsis, there are “many long held axioms in the game have some validity.” If we look at the average proximity to the cup on shots from 50 to 75 yards versus shots from 75 to 100 yards, they are virtually the same. Thus, the fear of not having a full-wedge swing into the approach shot is reasonable. But once the golfer can get inside 50 yards, the average proximity to the cup is dramatically closer.

The expected putts data comes from the Tour. Hypothetically, we could state that the golfer who is laying up will end up somewhere between 50 to 125 yards in order to get that full-wedge swing into the hole and the going-for-it golfer will end up somewhere between 1 to 40 yards from the hole. If we average the expected putts, we come up with the going-for-it golfer expected to have 0.42 fewer strokes. That may not sound like much, but the difference on Tour is worth roughly 30 to 50 spots on the scoring average rankings.

Of course, it is not quite that simple. There is more math that needs to be done with regards historical data with regards to how players played that particular hole and their scores and other mitigating factors like the golfer’s skill sets, potential hazards, etc. It does give a good indication of where the concept of laying up to get a full wedge swing stems from; the inability to hit it closer from that mid-range of 50 to 75 yards. However, if the golfer can get the second shot within 50 yards, he is most likely much better off at going for greens in two shots.

Click here for more discussion in the “Tour Talk” forum.

A growing niche: Hickory Golf

Opinion: Courses must be proactive to speed up play

Richie Hunt is a statistician whose clients include PGA Tour players, their caddies and instructors in order to more accurately assess their games. He is also the author of the recently published e-book, 2018 Pro Golf Synopsis; the Moneyball Approach to the Game of Golf. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter @Richie3Jack. GolfWRX Writer of the Month: March 2014 Purchase 2017 Pro Golf Synopsis E-book for $10

Feb 8, 2013 at 6:25 pm

“Every golfer is faced with the dilemma of whether to go for a par 5 on the second shot.”

Isn’t the average male driving it about 220 yards? When would they ever be faced with this dilema on a full length course? Some of the guys I play with are faced with the decision to go for most par 4s in two.

Feb 12, 2013 at 11:41 am

Well ABgolfer2 , if he is playing from the correct tees for his ability and not the tees for his ego, there is still probably a good chance he may face that dilemma at least once a round

Feb 12, 2013 at 1:50 pm

Yeah, I know golf is trying to be inclusive and all, but a 380 yard hole is not really a par 5 now is it?!?. 400 yards, let alone 500, is out of reach for most golfers. That’s what I was saying.

Troy Vayanos

Feb 8, 2013 at 4:37 pm

It’s interesting statistics on par fives Rich.

I think for the professionals a lot depends on what is around the green in their decision to go for it or not. For me personally i’m always looking at either hitting it on or giving myself a 100 yard or in distance for my third.

Feb 8, 2013 at 11:06 am

I find this interesting because we do often hear, “… laying up to a comfortable distance.” A bad shot from 100 yards to most pros is 20 feet yet, that is the average from that distance. Instead of pulling a 7 iron to lay it up, perhaps we should be pulling a 5 iron…

Feb 8, 2013 at 1:49 am

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz I really wish someone who could break 80 wrote this.

Martin Chuck

Feb 16, 2013 at 12:03 am

Mateo, I’d bet my house Rich would thump you 5 and 4 and that is if you are a good player. Rich Hunt is a fine striker and very good player.

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Vincenzi’s 2024 masters betting preview: niemann to play star role at augusta national.

It’s been over nine months since we saw Brian Harman parlay a dominant performance at Royal Liverpool into a claret jug. After another major offseason filled with a feud between the PGA Tour and LIV Golf, talks of a merger, and a multitude of questions regarding the future of the game, the golf world is desperate for all of the best players in the world to come together again for a major championship. 

We return to Augusta National with excitement at a fever pitch. Scottie Scheffler has separated himself as the best player in the world heading into the Masters. At the moment, the 27-year-old seems to be an unstoppable force. However, questions about Scheffler’s up-and-down putter once again resurfaced as he missed multiple short putts at the Texas Children’s Houston Open including a 5’11” putt to force a playoff with Stephan Jaeger. 

Additionally, a handful of the PGA Tour’s top players such as Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Will Zalatoris, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood and Jordan Spieth make their way to Augusta National with their current form in question.

Plenty of LIV golfers may be up to the task of conquering Augusta, but with so much time in between the last two majors, it’s not always easy to decipher how their games will stack up against Scheffler and co.

Last year, some important changes were made at Augusta National. The par-5 13th (Azalea) was lengthened by 35 yards and now measures 545 yards. Last year, Azalea played as the toughest of the four par 5s, and players averaged 4.74 for the week, which was down from 4.85 in 2022. However, eagles, birdies and bogeys were all up, so the lengthening achieved less pars, which equals more excitement. 

Without further ado, let’s get into the course breakdown and analyze some important statistics for Augusta National.

Augusta National is now a 7,510-yard par-72 with lightning-fast Bentgrass greens. The course’s primary defenses are the contoured greens, swirling crosswinds, the topography of the course, which creates uneven lies and the small landing areas that golfers will need to hit to avoid tight run-off areas around the greens.

Past Winners at the Masters 

• 2023: Jon Rahm (-12)
• 2022: Scottie Scheffler (-10)
• 2021: Hideki Matsuyama (-10)
• 2020: Dustin Johnson (-20)
• 2019: Tiger Woods (-13)
• 2018: Patrick Reed (-15)
• 2017: Sergio Garcia (-9)
• 2016: Danny Willett (-5)
• 2015: Jordan Spieth (-18)
• 2014: Bubba Watson (-8)
• 2013: Adam Scott (-9)
• 2012: Bubba Watson (-10)
• 2011: Charl Schwartzel (-14)
• 2010: Phil Mickelson (-16)

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Augusta National

Let’s take a look at the six most important metrics at Augusta National and determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds. This should give us a good starting point for building out a betting card.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Approach is historically the most important statistic at Augusta National. The sloping, speedy greens and run-off areas create small landing spots that can be difficult to hit.

 Last year, Jon Rahm ranked 6th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. Overall, five of the past seven winners at Augusta have ranked in the top 6 in the category. Distance helps, but Augusta National is a second-shot golf course.

Total Strokes Gained: Approach in past 24 rounds:

• Scottie Scheffler  (+1.30)
• Corey Conners  (+0.99)
• Shane Lowry  (+0.88)
• Tony Finau  (+0.85)
• Austin Eckroat  (+0.85)

Course History

More so than any other course on TOUR, familiarity with Augusta National is crucial. Only one player has ever won the Masters on their first try — Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. Meanwhile, there are 17 golfers in history who have multiple green jackets.

In most cases, the Masters champion has shown some good form at Augusta in the past. Prior to Scottie Scheffler’s 2022 victory, he finished T19 and T18 in his first two trips to the course. Prior to 2023, Rahm had finished in the top-10 of four of his six starts at The Masters. 

Total Strokes Gained: Total at Augusta National in past 36 rounds (per round, minimum eight rounds):

• Will Zalatoris  (+2.91) 
• Jon Rahm (+2.28) 
• Jordan Spieth  (+2.22) 
• Scottie Scheffler  (+2.22)
• Dustin Johnson  (+2.01)
• Rory McIlroy  (+2.00) 
• Hideki Matsuyama (+1.90)
• Justin Rose  (+1.85)
• Rickie Fowler  (+1.72)
• Russell Henley  (+1.60) 

Par 4 Scoring Average

Since plenty of players can reach the par 5s at Augusta in two, par-4 scoring becomes more important. The golfer who separates themselves on the par 4s will be able to gain ground on the field.

Par 4 Scoring Average in past 24 rounds:

• Scottie Scheffler  (+3.88) 
• Chris Kirk (+3.92) 
• Jordan Spieth  (+3.93) 
• Peter Malnati  (+3.93)
• Xander Schauffele  (+3.93)

Strokes Gained: Around the Green

Golfers with a solid short game tend to fare well at Augusta National. The run-off areas are treacherous, and players will often be scrambling to get up and down.

The majority of players who have won at Augusta National have a great short game and have shown consistent ability to get up and down from tough spots.

Total Strokes Gained: Around the Green in past 24 rounds:

• Hideki Matsuyama  (+0.71)
• Scottie Scheffler  (+0.66)
• Patrick Reed  (+0.61)
• Xander Schauffele  (+0.53)
• Lucas Glover  (+0.51)

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

Augusta National is most definitely a second shot golf course. Golfers can get away with a missed fairway here and there, however, it’s important that the misses with driver aren’t too wide of the target or there is serious trouble to be had.

Total Strokes Gained: Off the Tee in past 24 rounds:

• Bryson DeChambeau  (+1.04)
• Rory McIlroy  (+0.85)
• Scottie Scheffler  (+0.84)
• Xander Schauffele  (+0.71)
• Ludvig Aberg  (+0.68)

Strokes Gained Putting: Fast Bentgrass

The USGA calculates that, on average, the greens at Augusta National are the fastest greens in the country. Three-putting is fairly common at Augusta and golfers must be able to combat the speed of the greens with effective lag putting.

Total Strokes Gained: Putting on Fast Bentgrass in past 24 rounds:

• Justin Rose  (+1.43)
• Sahith Theegala  (+0.97) 
• Min Woo Lee  (+0.88) 
• Cameron Smith  (+0.70) 
• Patrick Reed  (+0.70)

Statistical Model

Below, I’ve reported overall model rankings using a combination of the six key statistical categories previously discussed.

These rankings are comprised of SG: App (25%); Course History (16%); Par 4 Scoring Average (10%); SG: Putting on Fast Bentgrass (16%); SG: OTT (16%). and SG: ARG (16%).

Last year, Jon Rahm ranked first in this model

• Scottie Scheffler
• Xander Schauffele
• Hideki Matsuyama
• Tony Finau  
• Justin Thomas
• Shane Lowry
• Will Zalatoris
• Corey Conners
• Rory McIlroy
• Stephan Jaeger
• Jordan Spieth
• Keegan Bradley
• Wyndham Clark
• Sahith Theegala
• Russell Henley
• Collin Morikawa
• Matt Fitzpatrick
• Patrick Reed

My 2023 Pick:

Jon Rahm (+950) (FanDuel) A few months ago, I never thought that I’d be able to say that Rahm would be going slightly under the radar heading into the 2023 Masters. It’s not that Rahm has done anything wrong, but both Scheffler and McIlroy have undoubtedly surpassed him as the scorching hot, super-elite, top of the market betting favorite category.

Since his win at Riviera, the Spaniard has finished 39th at Bay Hill, withdrew at The Players Championship, and failed to get out of the group stage at the WGC Dell Match Play. On the other hand, Scheffler won The PLAYERS Championship and McIlroy finished third at the WGC Dell Match Play.

Rahm has made six starts at The Masters and has come in the top-10 in four of them. The 28-year-old has incredible power off the tee, a requirement at Augusta which always plays longer than the scorecard indicates. He’s also incredible around the greens and ranks third in the field in Strokes Gained: Short Game, which is a combination of around the green play and putting, in his past 24 rounds.

As we’ve seen over the years at The Masters, having the ability to chip and putt your way out of difficult situations is a fundamental aspect of getting it done at Augusta National.

While Scheffler has made a strong case to be viewed as the world’s best player, I still believe that title belongs to Rahm. This will be the year Rahmbo joins the ranks of Seve Ballesteros, José María Olazábal, and Sergio Garcia as natives of Spain to don a green jacket.

2024 The Masters Picks

Brooks koepka +2500 (draftkings).

In order to win the 2024 Masters, a player will have to go toe-to-toe with Scottie Scheffler, who’s hitting the ball as anyone in golf over the last two seasons. When building a betting card this week, it’s important for me to choose players that I believe can stare Scheffler down on the weekend at Augusta National. Brooks Koepka fits that bill.

Koepka’s lackluster performance at LIV Miami is concerning, but he’s the type of player who can turn it on quickly during the week of a major championship. Although I’d have preferred, he played well last week, I’ll take the odds discount we got as a result of his most recent results.

Prior to LIV Miami, Koepka appeared to be in solid form. He finished in the top twelve in four of five starts on LIV this season. When it comes to the five-time major champion, it’s well known that he has another gear for major championships. Everything he’s done both in the off-season and during the LIV season is to gear up for the year’s first major at Augusta National.

In his past five starts at Augusta National, the 33-year-old has three top-7 finishes, including two runners-up. The two years when he played poorly (2019 and 2020) were when he was nowhere near 100% healthy. All signs point to Brooks being in a great place physically as we enter major season.

Last year, Koepka was the 36 and 54-hole leader prior to letting the green jacket slip away to Jon Rahm. He used the result as a springboard to win his 5th major at Oak Hill at the PGA Championship.

Brooks enters the week looking to get one step closer to achieving the career grand slam and golf fans would be foolish to rule him out.

Joaquin Niemann +2800  ( BetRivers )

Full disclosure, I bet Niemann the second he was invited to The Masters back in February at +8000. Although the odds have shortened dramatically since then, I can’t pretend that the Chilean isn’t one of the players who has a real chance to win the 2024 Masters.

While I was speaking with Niemann back in March, he told me how much he loves Augusta National.

“Yeah, it’s a place that I love. I’ve been playing good golf. Especially last year, I wasn’t playing my best golf, and I had a good week there and made triple on 11 that kind of killed me a little bit.

I feel like I’m getting more ready and more prepared every time. My game is getting better too. I know that I’m playing good enough to be in that situation that I can have a chance to win the Masters and it’s all about how I react to that situation.

So yeah, I’m going to prepare myself to be ready for that situation if it happens and I can fight for the title on the Sunday which would be awesome.”

As Niemann alluded to, the Chilean was able to have his best career finishes at The Masters (T16) despite not being in the best form. This year, Niemann comes into the week playing better golf than anyone in the world with the exception of Scottie Scheffler. The 25-year-old has won three times since December and has shown the world why he was regarded as one of the games future stars since he was a teenager.

Historically speaking, Joaco’s win at Riviera a few years back seems to be an indicator of potential success at Augusta National. Fourteen players have won at both historic courses including Hideki Matsuyama, Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, Nick Faldo, Tom Watson and Ben Hogan.

Niemann has all the shots to be successful at Augusta National. His low stingers will come in handy on plenty of holes down the stretch and he can work it both ways, playing the high draw or the low fade. He also putts best on Bentgrass greens and likes them fast. Whether PGA Tour or LIV, talent will always reign supreme, and I’ll always bet on that talent.

Cameron Smith (+4000) ( FanDuel )

Cameron Smith is another player who we should get an odds discount on based off of the results at LIV Miami. Smith was forced to withdraw prior to the second round due to food poisoning. In my opinion, the number has drifted to a place where I’d consider it a “bet the number” play on the talent.

Smith is a contender for the green jacket anytime he tees it up at Augusta National. The Australian absolutely loves the golf course and has four top-10 finishes in his last six trips to the golf course. In both 2020 and 2022, Smith had a real chance of winning The Masters and came up just short, finishing T2 and T3 in those two tries. In his past 36 rounds, he ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Total per round at Augusta.

In order to be successful at Augusta National, players must be creative around the greens and be shot makers who have plenty of ways to get around the golf course. Cam has all the shots required to be successful at the course at his touch around the greens will continue to serve him well in his hopes for a green jacket.

Smith is arguably the best putter in the world and has the capability to win a golf tournament on and around the greens. He’s already taken down Rory McIlroy at the home of golf on his way to a claret jug and is one of the few players who can stare down any of the world’s top golfers on the back nine at Augusta National.

Justin Thomas +4000  ( FanDuel )

With how he’s been playing since his 2022 PGA Championship win, you may be shocked to see the name “Justin Thomas” in this preview. However, JT has drifted to a place on the odds board where I believe it’s worth taking a shot on the talent of a two-time major champion in his prime.

It’s not all bad for Thomas this season. He finished T6 at the signature Pebble Beach event, T12 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T12 at the signature Arnold Palmer Invitational. In his last 24 rounds, JT ranks 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 14th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green and 29th in Strokes Gained: Putting on fast Bentgrass greens.

Despite missing the cut last season, Thomas has played pretty well at Augusta National. He ranks 13th in Strokes Gained: Total in his past 36 rounds at the course. He finished T4 in 2020, T21 in 2021 and T8 in 2022.

I believe the 2024 edition of The Masters is completely wide open. The past few years has been frustrating for Thomas fans, but I believe his peak form may be a bit closer than people realize.

Sergio Garcia +12000  ( FanDuel )

Earlier this season, Garcia dueled with Joaquin Niemann before finally losing on the fourth playoff hole late into the night. Despite the loss, the 44-year-old seemed to gain confidence in his game. The results that followed weren’t spectacular, but in terms of his ball striking he’s shown some flashes of vintage Sergio.

At LIV Miami last week, Garcia played well on a massive golf course, losing in a playoff to Dean Burmester. He continued pumped the ball into the fairway and hit massive iron shot after massive iron shot. He also used a refurbished Scotty Cameron that he used in the 1999 PGA Championship at Medinah. The putter served him incredibly well until he missed a short putt on the 18th hole to win the event. Overall, he gained 7.1 strokes putting at Doral.

Sergio Garcia is once again headed to Augusta National with a chip on his shoulder. Of course, having a chip on the shoulder is nothing new for the fiery Spaniard, but this year, the 2017 Masters Champion will arrive at Augusta with his game clicking on all cylinders.

Sergio winning a second green jacket is seemingly an almost impossible feat, but magical things tend to happen on the hallowed grounds of Augusta National.

Adam Scott +11000  ( FanDuel )

Betting Adam Scott over the past handful of years has been a Masters staple for me, and like many traditions, has been a hard one for me to let go of.

Last week, Scott finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open in a windy and difficult week. I believe the wind will be a major factor this week at Augusta National, and the more difficult the tournament plays, the more I favor Scott. Scott also ranks 5th in his past 24 rounds on Strokes Gained: Putting on Fast Bentgrass and has the short game these days that could help him contend in a major.

Since his win in 2013, Scott’s history at The Masters has been spotty. He has some poor finishes alongside a T9 in 2017 and a T18 in 2019. He’s been playing some solid golf this season, finishing T8 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T19 at the Genesis Invitational.

(All photos in piece belong to LIV Golf)

The 22 players who can win the Masters

Since 2013, I have created a filtering process to help determine the players who are most likely to win the green jacket based on criteria that have strongly predictive outcomes to success at Augusta. The list of players that can win at Augusta is usually filtered down to 20-24 players and in that time I have correctly shortlisted every Masters champion.

This includes last year’s winner, Jon Rahm. Even though Rahm essentially walked away with the green jack and did not make it very close, there were some close calls on top of the leaderboard as I had filtered out Phil Mickelson (t-2nd) and Patrick Reed (t-4th) as the LIV Tour is still behind on providing advanced analytics for their tour. Russell Henley was also filtered out and finished t-4th, five strokes from Rahm’s winning score of 276.

If you’re watching at home, the “critical holes” that will likely determine the top finishers will be holes No. 7, 8, 11 and 13. The 11th hole is projected to be the most critical of holes as over the past five Masters the top players have gained nearly a 1.5 strokes for the tournament on that hole alone.

Just like last year’s column I will get the LIV Tour players I’ve filtered out of the way. Since LIV Tour does not provide ShotLink or Trackman data, it’s more of a guessing game as to how certain LIV Tour golfers are playing. I did utilize recent performance as well as performance at Mayakoba and Doral as they were two former PGA Tour courses that have some semblance of crossover to playing Augusta.

Phil Mickelson Thorbjorn Olesen Charl Schwartzel Cameron Smith Bubba Watson

Admittedly Cameron Smith and Phil Mickelson are hard to leave out, but both have not played well as of late.

Next, I filtered out the amateurs and all first-time professional attendees. The Masters has only been won three times by a first-time attendee: Fuzzy Zoeller was the last to win in 1979. Prior to Zoeller though, it was Horton Smith in the inaugural event in 1934 followed by Gene Sarazen in 1935

Ludvig Aberg Akshay Bhatia Wyndham Clark Eric Cole Santiago de la Fuente (a) Nick Dunlap Austin Eckroat Stewart Hagestad (a) Ryo Hisatsune Lee Hodges Nicolai Hojgaard Stephan Jaeger Jake Knapp Christo Lamprecht (a) Peter Malnati Denny McCarthy Grayson Murray Matthieu Pavon Adam Schenk Neal Shipley (a) Jasper Stubbs (a)

Out of the first time invitees the data likes Ludvig Aberg and Eric Cole to play the best at Augusta National.

I also filter out old Masters champions that I do not believe can get into contention anymore.

Fred Couples Jose Maria Olazabal Vijay Singh Mike Weir Tiger Woods

Recency has a strong predictive value for player performance and missing the cut in the event in the prior week greatly reduces the likelihood of winning the following week compared to players that miss the cut, take a week off, and then play the following week. Therefore I filter out all players that missed the cut at the Valero Texas Open last week.

Byeong Hun An Harris English Rickie Fowler Ryan Fox Zach Johnson Tom Kim Erik van Rooyen Camilo Villegas

I will also filter out the players that have never made the cut at the Masters:

Kurt Kitayama Adrian Meronk

A Tradition Unlike Any Other…

Augusta National has traditionally favored longer hitters and even moreso in the past 20 years of the event. Of course there has been exceptions as in 2007 the short hitting Zach Johnson ended up winning the event.

Critics of my filtering system point out Johnson’s victory as a case for short hitters being able to win at Augusta, but they neglect the fact that Johnson’s victory came in historically low temperatures in the 40’s with wind gusts reaching 35 mph. That made the par-5’s almost unreachable in two shots and the course stressed wedge play and short game around the green where Zach had a sizable advantage. It is projected to rain early on Thursday and then the weather is supposed to be sunny and warm for the rest of the week. It depends on how quickly the course dries up, but if it does dry out fairly quickly that will give the longer hitters the advantage as they will be able to reach certain par-5’s in two shots that the shorter hitters cannot reach if they don’t hit a quality tee shot and there may be par-5’s that some of the long hitters can reach in two shots with a short iron. Therefore I will filter out the following players due to a lack of distance off the tee:

Corey Conners Lucas Glover Emiliano Grillo Brian Harman Si Woo Kim Chris Kirk Shane Lowry Colin Morikawa JT Poston Justin Rose Sepp Straka

Out of these players the data likes Lowry and Morikawa the most. Both have good history at Augusta and they both just narrowly missed the distance benchmark set in the filter and both are excellent long iron players.

Last year I created a new formula to better determine ball height as Augusta has historically not taken too kindly to a low ball flight. Out of the 5 players filtered out for low ball flight using the new formula the best finish was only t-29th by Si Woo Kim. This year I’ve filtered out the following players.

Matthew Fitzpatrick Sungjae Im Luke List Joaquin Niemann Justin Thomas

Every year I filter out the poor performers on approach shots from 175-225 yards as Augusta National puts a lot of stress on those shots. Last year I filtered out nine players and three of them missed the cut with only Jordan Spieth finishing in the top-15 (t-4th) as the rest of the players were never a threat.

Here are the golfers I’m filtering out due to poor play from 175-225 yards:

Patrick Cantlay Cameron Davis Jason Day Tommy Fleetwood Russell Henley Max Homa Rory McIlroy Jordan Spieth Nick Taylor

Rory had a nice outing at the Valero Texas Open and hit his irons better there, but appears to be struggling with a leftward miss. Other than that, Rory still has the game to win his first green jacket. Henley is usually one of the better iron players on Tour, but he has struggled this season from 175-225 yards and is a short hitter anyway.

I will also filter out Danny Willett as he is coming off injury and making his comeback at the Masters.

That leaves the 22 players that can win the Masters:

Keegan Bradley (150/1) Sam Burns (60/1) Bryson DeChambeau (25/1) Tony Finau (50/1) Sergio Garcia (100/1) Adam Hadwin (175/1) Tyrrell Hatton (80/1) Viktor Hovland (35/1) Dustin Johnson (40/1) Brooks Koepka (16/1) Min Woo Lee (70/1) Hideki Matsuyama (20/1) Taylor Moore (300/1) Jon Rahm (12/1) Patrick Reed (80/1) Xander Schauffele (18/1) Scottie Scheffler (4/1) Adam Scott (100/1) Sahith Theegala (50/1) Gary Woodland (250/1) Cameron Young (50/1) Will Zalatoris (35/1)

Here’s my personal top-10 picks:

Keegan Bradley (150/1) Sam Burns (60/1) Bryson DeChambeau (35/1) Tony Finau (50/1) Viktor Hovland (35/1) Dustin Johnson (40/1) Hideki Matsuyama (20/1) Jon Rahm (12/1) Xander Schauffele (18/1) Scottie Scheffler (4/1)

7 PGA TOUR courses you need to play

Golf is a unique sport in that you can play where the pros play and make golf history of your own. Nothing in golf can compare to playing a world-renowned course and following in the footsteps of the game’s best golfers. The feeling is incomparable, and it’s one we think more golfers should experience!

To get you started, here are our picks of the best PGA TOUR courses you can (and should!) play:

PGA Tour courses you can (and should) play

• Pebble Beach  
• TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course  
• Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill       
• Torrey Pines – South  
• Harbour Town  
• PGA National – Champion  
• Innisbrook Resort – Copperhead  

Pebble Beach Golf Links (AT&T Pro-Am, U.S. Open, PGA Championship)

Early morning light on the par-4 8th hole at Pebble Beach Golf Links on the Monterey Peninsula.

One of the most recognizable golf courses in the world, Pebble Beach Golf Links is the definition of a bucket golf course. Golfers will play iconic holes like the par-3 7th to the stunning par-5 18th. Enjoy great views of the Pacific Ocean as you play amongst the clifftop fairways and make memories that will last a lifetime when you play this PGA TOUR and major championship course.  

TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course ( THE PLAYERS Championship )

The 17th hole of THE PLAYERS Stadium Course at the TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL Photo by: Chris Condon/PGA TOUR (Photo by Chris Condon/PGA)

Home to arguably the most famous par 3 in golf, the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass is a top bucket-list course designed by Pete and Alice Dye. A challenging layout awaits that will test all facets of your game, especially shot shaping and course management. Subtle elevation changes, undulating greens, and unique bunkering add a degree of difficulty that stump even the best players in the world. Not to mention one of the best finishing stretches in golf with the long par-5 16th, the iconic 17th hole island green, and the testy par-4 18th. 

Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill   (Arnold Palmer Invitational)

A course fit for “The King” is what you will experience when you visit Orlando and play Bay Hill’s Championship Course . This classic Florida layout offers generous landing areas off the tee with few trees, but bunkers guard the greens and large ponds will make you rethink your shot choices. The course is only available for members and guests staying at The Lodge , so a stay is required to play this stunning course. But with year-round sunshine and pristine course conditions, it is never a bad time to visit Bay Hill! 

Torrey Pines – South  (Farmers Insurance Open, U.S. Open)

Another California clifftop course that should be on your bucket list is the South Course at Torrey Pines . Located just north of San Diego , this annual PGA TOUR stop has also hosted two U.S. Opens, which adds to the allure of the property. Narrow fairways and tall rough combined with amazing views of the Pacific Ocean and the California coastline make for an unforgettable round of golf. Large bunkers and elevation changes add to the challenge of the course, but the moderately sized greens offer golfers some respite. Who would’ve thought that a municipal course could be so exciting?

Harbour Town ( RBC Heritage )

Hole 18 Harbour Town

Most recognized by the famous red and white striped lighthouse behind the 18th green, Harbour Town is the brainchild of Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus on Hilton Head Island , South Carolina . While the course is relatively short for a PGA TOUR event, the challenging design offsets length for accuracy with the narrow fairways framed by overhanging trees making it a shot makers course. A majority of the course winds through the wooded and sandy terrain before looping back towards the coastline with the final two finishing holes playing along the water. 

PGA National – Champion Course (Honda Classic, Ryder Cup , PGA Championship)

With the prominent golf tournaments this course has held, it is hard to leave it off the list. A fantastic Jack Nicklaus design, the Champions Course at PGA National is also home to a famous stretch of golf holes called “The Bear Trap.” The fairways and greens are player-friendly while the bunkers and water hazards are the course’s biggest defense. You will enjoy a 5-star experience and feel like a professional when you visit PGA National’s Champion Course .

Innisbrook Resort – Copperhead Course (Valspar Championship)

At more than 7,200 yards the Copperhead Course is the most recognizable of Innisbrook’s four Tampa, Florida courses and plays host to the PGA TOUR’s Valspar Championship.

One of the more under-the-radar courses on Tour, the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort still offers a challenge even to the pros. Designed by Lawrence Packard, the course, while not heavily wooded, requires accuracy with tight fairways, strategically placed bunkers, especially around the greens, and a decent amount of water hazards that come into play. As you head towards the clubhouse, you will encounter “The Snake Pit;” a collection of the most difficult finishing holes on the PGA TOUR.

There you have it, GolfWRXers. Have you played any of these PGA TOUR tracks? What was your experience? Let us know in the comments.

Editor’s note: This article is presented in partnership with Golfbreaks. When you make a purchase through links in this article, GolfWRX may earn an affiliate commission. 

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PGA Tour RBC Heritage Par Scores

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April 21, 2024, 9:08 PM

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• 1 Scottie Scheffler -20 Thru 15 -4
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2024 RBC Heritage leaderboard, scores: Scottie Scheffler leads with eye on fourth win in last five starts

Scheffler continues to dominate his peers as he inches closer to adding $3.6 million to his bank account.

Another week, another chance for Scottie Scheffler to add a tournament trophy to his sterling résumé. Despite entering with what most believe would be an automatic Masters hangover, the world No. 1 is No. 1 on the leaderboard at the 2024 RBC Heritage with 18 holes to play. This despite just nine holes of practice and an early misstep.

Scheffler was flawless Saturday, utilizing an 8-under 63 to climb to 16 under for the tournament, one clear of Sepp Straka. Scheffler's 54-hole lead marks his eighth lead or co-lead in his last 17 rounds as he searches for his fourth victory in his last five starts, potentially the 10th of his PGA Tour career.

Scheffler's 63 not only saw him pull away from the field but pull closer to Tiger Woods for most consecutive rounds at par or better since 1983. Scheffler's Saturday matched Fred Funk at 38 straight, putting him 14 off the pace of Woods' record 52.Scheffler will also look to join Woods in 2006 as the latest golfer to win a tournament one week immediately after winning a major championship.

It is likely Scheffler will need to extend this under-par streak if he expects to add another jacket to his closet. While a bevy of stars lurk, final rounds have proven to be no sweat for the best player in the world this year. Scheffler has raced away from the field at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Masters, and he chased down the leaders at The Players Championship. No matter the situation, Scheffler and his game areup for it.

"I think tomorrow is going to be challenging," Scheffler said. "We're going to get a different wind tomorrow, so the golf course will play pretty different. It's something that we'll adjust to tonight, kind of get in the right headspace. Go out tomorrow and try our best to stay patient and execute."  

1. Scottie Scheffler (-16):  He has been perfect since his double bogey on No. 3 in Round 1 as Scheffler has neither put a five on his scorecard this week nor dropped a shot in his last 51 holes. During this stretch, he has tacked on 17 birdies, eight of which came in Round 3. Scheffler had everything in sequence on Moving Day as he hit 10 fairways and 15 greens, going 5 for 5 getting up-and-down. 

Of his eight birdies, seven came from inside 10 feet; the lone outside effort came on the short par-4 ninth. Scheffler was able to connect from 36 feet, turn in 5-under 31 and keep the momentum rolling into the inward half where he ultimately grabbed the lead for himself.

"No. 8 was really only the bad swing I made today, and it was nice to get that ball up-and-down," Scheffler said. "Then No. 9, it's two days in a row where I've hit decent drives and ended up in a weird spot. Yesterday, I had the plugged lie, and today, instead of staying on the upslope or going in the bunker, it stays on the downslope. Seemed like there was more grass underneath it but wasn't able to get underneath it to hit the flop, but it was nice to see that ball go in for sure."

Other contenders

2. Sepp Straka (-15) 3. Collin Morikawa (-14) T4. Ludvig Åberg, Patrick Rodgers, Sahith Theegala (-13) T7. Tom Hoge, Seamus Power, Patrick Cantlay, J.T. Poston (-12)

For most of Saturday, it appeared Åberg would be the one to challenge Scheffler much like he did at the Masters. The young Swede was automatic on the front nine, giving himself chance after chance from inside 10 feet, but he was unable to convert with much consistency. Despite a smidge of trouble on the greens, last week's runner up turned in 3 under and added another birdie on the 11th to tie Scheffler at 14 under.

Åberg played his last seven holes in 1 over, while Scheffler played his last four holes in 2 under to build a three-stroke edge over the man who came closest to him at Augusta National. Åberg will need to be perfect tomorrow, but he has proven already in his young career that he is capable of such a performance.

"I think we're all expecting [Scheffler] to be there with the way that he's been playing," Åberg said. "I think we all expect him to play well, and there's nothing I can do about it. All I try to do is focus on myself and make sure that I hit the shots the way I want to and then see where that takes me."

2024 RBC Heritage updated odds and picks

Odds via SportsLine consensus

• Scottie Scheffler: 2/3
• Sepp Straka: 11/2
• Collin Morikawa: 7-1
• Ludvig Åberg: 11-1
• Sahith Theegala: 18-1
• Patrick Cantlay: 28-1

Straka is going to be frisky -- he's capable of winning and has a ton of game -- but let's not reinvent the wheel now. Scheffler has been stellar from the pole position in recent memory (including last week) and shows no signs of slowing down. After an iffy start to his week, the world No. 1 has settled in and should settle into a new tartan jacket on the 18th green tomorrow.

Morikawa climbs within one

A birdie on 15 has Collin Morikawa in the inside lane on joining Scottie Scheffler in the final group tomorrow. It would be the same final two as the Masters just a week ago with Morikawa looking to be the one to exact revenge. He stands at 15 under and one behind Scheffler with three to go.

Scheffler gets in at 16 under

The world No. 1 started the day at 8 under, shot 8 under and is in the house at 16 under. Scheffler was brilliant on Saturday as he had everything going for him. He was stellar off the tee, on approach and a perfect 5/5 getting up and down. Outside a double bogey on No. 3 on Thursday, Scheffler has not dropped a shot. 

Rory posts 68

There was some good and some bad for Rory today, and it all adds up to a 3-under 68. He was even par on his final 13 holes after getting off to a dream start. He stands at 10 under and five behind Scottie Scheffler who is on the surface on 17 with a 12-foot birdie look.

Scheffler goes two clear

Just like that a share of the lead has turned into a two-stroke lead. With Scottie Scheffler making birdie on the par-5 15th and Ludvig Aberg dropping a shot on the par-4 12th, Scheffler is two clear at 15 under.

Ludvig leaps into a share

The young Swede grabs a birdie on the 11th to get to 14 under alongside Scottie Scheffler. They are one clear of Collin Morikawa and Tom Hoge on the back nine at Harbour Town, but Ludvig just hammered a tree off the tee on the 12th. Meanwhile, Scheffler is in the fairway on 15 hoping to get on in two.

Morikawa tacks on a birdie at the turn

Choosing to lay up, Collin Morikawa stuffs his wedge from 100 yards on the short par-4 9th to get within one of Scottie Scheffler. Morikawa's iron play has been a hot topic this season and while it has flashed, it has been somewhat inconsistent. Let's see if he can keep this going and keep the pace on the back nine.

Scheffler eyes go-ahead birdie

He knocks it to 5 feet on the par-4 12th, and Scheffler will have that to reach 14 under and grab the lead by himself. He is currently tied at 13 under with Ludvig Aberg who steps to the short par-4 9th hoping to add a birdie of his own. These two are battling again.

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RBC Heritage Round 1 Highlights: Scottie Scheffler

2024 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

T he top players in the world won't have much of a break following the Masters because up next on the schedule is the 2024 RBC Heritage , a signature event with a loaded field. The 1st round from Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, S.C., begins on Thursday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .

Scottie Scheffler , fresh off his Masters victory, remains the No. 1 player in this week's Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. Xander Schauffele , who's also in the field, comes in at No. 2, followed by Rory McIlroy , Ludvig Aberg and Patrick Cantlay – all of whom are playing the RBC Heritage. Last year's champion Matt Fitzpatrick is Golfweek's 20th-ranked player.

Harbour Town is one of the shorter courses on tour and emphasizes accuracy off the tee and ball-striking with irons. The greens are also some of the smallest on the PGA Tour, so it's essential for players to be accurate when approaching the greens. It's a par 71 and 7,213 yards, slightly longer than it was last year.

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RBC Heritage – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+300)

Cantlay is Mr. Top 5 at the RBC Heritage. Since 2017, he's played this event 6 times. He finished inside the top 5 on 4 occasions, missed the cut once and came in 7th another time. If there's ever a tournament to bet Cantlay to finish in the top 5, it's this one.

Collin Morikawa (+350)

Morikawa has yet to finish in the top 5 at this event, but he came close in 2021 when he came in 7th. Since then, he's had finishes of 26th and 31st, proving to be a good fit at Harbour Town with his accuracy off the tee and iron play.

RBC Heritage – Top-10 picks

Tommy fleetwood (+160).

Fleetwood has notched back-to-back top-10 finishes in his last 2 starts, including a tie for 3rd at the Masters. He's finished 15th, 10th and 25th in 3 of his 4 career starts at this event (MC in 2021), so he's played well at Harbour Town in the past. He could legitimately win this tournament on Sunday.

Shane Lowry (+300)

Lowry is poised to bounce back after a dreadful putting performance at the Masters. Harbour Town is a ball-strikers course and Lowry ranks among the best on tour this season. He's finished in the top 10 here in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Cam Davis (+375)

Davis still has long odds despite his course history (7th, 3rd, 25th) and 12th-place finish at the Masters. His length won't be a big advantage this week because it's not a bombers course, but he's played well here in the past and should do so again.

Other T10 contenders ( in order from longest odds to shortest ):

• Russell Henley (+250)
• Ludvig Aberg (+125)

RBC Heritage – Top-20 picks

J.t. poston (+150).

Poston has been feast or famine at the RBC Heritage. He finished 3rd in 2022, 8th in 2020 and 6th in 2019, but he missed the cut in his 2 other starts in 2023 and 2021. He's one of the best putters on tour (even if his numbers don't reflect that this year) and has the course history to finish near the top again this week.

Corey Conners (+120)

In the last 4 years, Conners has finished 31st, 12th, 4th and 21st. He seemingly loves this course and has had success here in the past, and we're probably getting a little bit of a discount after a disappointing week at the Masters.

Matthieu Pavon (+170)

Pavon has proved he can compete with the best players in the world, winning at Torrey Pines earlier this year. In his last 2 starts this season, he's finished 5th and 12th, so his current form is good despite his lack of course experience (no previous starts here).

RBC Heritage – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold .

Cameron Young (-120) vs. Jordan Spieth (-105)

Spieth looked out of sorts at the Masters and he's now missed the cut in 3 of his last 4 starts. He won here in 2022 and lost in a playoff last year, but he's not playing nearly as well right now. Give me Young, who finished 3rd here in 2022.

RBC Heritage – Top Canadian

Corey conners (+200).

Conners is the favorite to be the top Canadian, ahead of Adam Hadwin  (+300), Mackenzie Hughes and Nick Taylor (both +400). Conners is the best course fit and has the better track record at Harbour Town.

RBC Heritage – Top Australian

Cam davis (+110).

Davis and Jason Day (-135) are the only two Australians in the field, yet it's Davis who's the underdog. Day hasn't played here since 2020 and he missed the cut that year, while Davis' course history is noted above.

RBC Heritage – First-round leader

Patrick cantlay (+2200).

Cantlay ranks 2nd only to Scheffler in Round 1 scoring average this season (67.5) and he's now coming to a course where he's finished 7th or better in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Xander Schauffele (+1600)

Schauffele is on fire right now, with his worst finish in his last 5 starts being 25th. Otherwise, he's had 4 top-5 finishes. He's 9th in 1st-round scoring average this year and opened with a 67 here last season.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group c winner: cameron young (+320).

In this group are Russell Henley (+333), Si Woo Kim (+333), Spieth (+375) and Sahith Theegala (+400). Young is the slight favorite and understandably so with the way he's playing right now coming out of the Masters.

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For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW .

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This article originally appeared on USA Today Sportsbookwire: 2024 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

RBC Heritage

Harbour Town Golf Links

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina • USA

Apr 18 - 21, 2024