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326 days until May 26 - June 1, 2025

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Dates: May 30 - June 5, 2022 Purse: 12,000,000 Par: 36-36-72 Yardage: 7543

Cut Notes: 36-hole cut: 70 players at 3-over 147 from a field of 120 professionals

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2024 John Deere Classic prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

T he PGA Tour is in Illinois this week for the 2024 John Deere Classic , which is once again being played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning, with the tournament wrapping up on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 John Deere Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .

Patrick Cantlay withdrew from the tournament on Monday after being listed as the overwhelming favorite to win. With Cantlay out, Sungjae Im is now the favorite at +1400, followed by 2023 champion Sepp Straka (+1600) and Aaron Rai (+1800). Jordan Spieth (+2000) is one of the marquee players in the field, as well.

TPC Deere Run is one of the easier courses on tour, featuring wide fairways, but penalizing rough. It's a par 71 and 7,289 yards, but players will have plenty of birdie opportunities throughout. The winning score has been between 19-under and 27-under every year since 2010.

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John Deere Classic – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:32 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+280)

Im is in excellent form coming into the week, finishing top 12 in 5 of his last 7 starts. He hasn't played this event since 2021 when he came in 47th, but he's understandably and deservedly the favorite to win the John Deere Classic.

John Deere Classic – Top-10 picks

Aaron rai (+175).

Rai is coming off a 2nd-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic where he was tied for the 54-hole lead. His putting was great and he was 4th in terms of approach play, which is a recipe for success at TPC Deere Run.

Lucas Glover (+400)

Glover is a past champion here, winning in 2021 before missing the cut in 2022 and finishing 6th last year. He's made just 1 cut in his last 3 starts this season, but based on his course history he's a worthwhile bet for a top-10 finish, especially with his ball-striking numbers (24th in SG: tee-to-green).

Denny McCarthy (+220)

McCarthy feels like he's due for a win, but even if he doesn't get it this week, he could be near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday. He's finished 6th here in back-to-back years and has 4 straight top-40 finishes this season. McCarthy is a terrific putter and an accurate driver, which are two key stats for this event.

John Deere Classic – Top-20 picks

Seamus power (+188).

Power has 3 top-16 finishes in his last 4 starts in this event and just finished T-20 in the Travelers Championship 2 weeks ago. While inconsistent, Power has had some good finishes in his last 9 starts, coming in 27th or better 5 times in that span.

Adam Svensson (+200)

In his last 3 John Deere Classic starts, Svensson has finished 18th, 24th and 21st. He also made 11 straight cuts before missing it last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, so his play has been nothing if not steady.

Ryan Moore (+400)

Moore should not have odds this long for a top 20. He has a win, a runner-up and 3 other top-24 finishes in his last 8 starts in this event, a tournament he plays every year. If there's ever a week to bet Moore, it's this one.

Other T20 contenders ( in order from longest odds to shortest ):

  • Neal Shipley (+250)

John Deere Classic – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold .

Denny McCarthy (+100) vs. Davis Thompson (-125)

Thompson is on a hot streak after finishing 9th and 2nd in his last 2 starts but McCarthy has a much better course history with back-to-back 6th-place finishes. At even money, McCarthy is the better bet and more consistent player.

Seamus Power (+110) vs. Keith Mitchell (-135)

Mitchell is coming off a MC in Detroit, whereas Power finished 20th 2 weeks ago at the Travelers and has 3 top-16 finishes in his last 4 starts in this event.

John Deere Classic – Top English

Aaron rai (-135).

There are 5 Englishmen in the field this week, with Rai being the heavy favorite. The player with the next-closest odds is David Skinns , who's +350. Rai is in great form and should contend for another win on Sunday.

John Deere Classic – First-round leader

Davis thompson (+3500).

Thompson ranks 37th in 1st-round scoring average this season and is red hot with back-to-back top-10 finishes. He could come out firing and go low on Thursday.

Zach Johnson (+10000)

It's a long shot, of course, but one that might have some value. Johnson plays this event every year. He's won it once, finished runner-up 3 times and made the cut 18 of 21 years, including 15 straight. Furthermore, he's 11th in Round 1 scoring average this year, so he's at least playing well to open tournaments, even if he's not finishing them near the top.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group c winner: seamus power (+375).

Nick Dunlap (+300), Kevin Yu (+333) and Sam Stevens (+333) have the best odds to win this group, which is a collection of relatively unproven players with high volatility. Eric Cole (+450) is the 5th player but I still like Power to emerge with the lowest score of the 5.

Winning margin: 2 shots (+350)

The winning margin has been 2 shots in 3 of the last 4 years, with the exception being J.T. Poston 's 3-shot victory in 2022.

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For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW .

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This article originally appeared on USA Today Sportsbookwire: 2024 John Deere Classic prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Jun 23, 2024; Cromwell, Connecticut, USA; Sungjae Im hits the ball from the eighteenth hole fairway during the final round of the Travelers Championship golf tournament at TPC River Highlands. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Lee Hodges betting profile:

Betting Profile

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JUNE 28: Lee Hodges of the United States plays his shot from the fourth tee during the second round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club on June 28, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JUNE 28: Lee Hodges of the United States plays his shot from the fourth tee during the second round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club on June 28, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

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Lee Hodges seeks better fortunes this time around in the 2024 . He placed 43rd at the par-71 TPC Deere Run in 2022.

The tournament and course info

  • Date: July 4-7, 2024
  • Location: Silvis, Illinois, USA
  • Course: TPC Deere Run
  • Par: 71 / 7,289 yards
  • Previous winner: Sepp Straka
  • Hodges has entered the once recently (in 2022), posting a score of 8-under and finishing 43rd.
  • En route to winning this tournament in 2023, Sepp Straka posted numbers of 3.33 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (sixth in field), 3.324 in SG: Approach the Green (19th), and 6.771 in SG: Putting (fourth).
  • In addition, Straka's average driving distance was 307.6 (31st in field), he hit 84.72% of greens in regulation (first), and he averaged 28.25 putts per round (15th).

Hodges' recent history at the

Hodges' recent performances.

  • Hodges has made the cut and finished in the top 20 on the leaderboard twice over his last five events.
  • He has made four cuts over his last five tournaments.
  • Hodges has finished with a better-than-average score in three of his last five tournaments.
  • In his last five events, his average score has been 4-under.
  • In terms of driving distance, Lee Hodges has averaged 289.8 yards in his past five starts.
  • In his past five starts, Hodges is averaging 0.767 Strokes Gained: Putting.
  • Looking at Strokes Gained: Total, Hodges has an average of 2.243 in his past five tournaments.

Hodges' advanced stats and rankings

  • Hodges has posted a Strokes Gained: Off the Tee average of -0.216 this season (131st on TOUR). His average driving distance (293.7 yards) ranks 126th, while his 68% driving accuracy average ranks 28th.
  • In terms of Strokes Gained: Approach, Hodges ranks 38th on TOUR with a mark of 0.335.
  • On the greens, Hodges' 0.032 Strokes Gained: Putting mark ranks 86th this season, and his 28.78 putts-per-round average ranks 70th.

Hodges' best finishes

  • Hodges has participated in 20 tournaments this season, but he has not collected a finish in the top 10.
  • In those 20 tournaments, he had a 60% success rate in terms of making the cut (12 cuts made).
  • As of now, Hodges has compiled 586 points, which ranks him 67th in the FedExCup standings.

Hodges' best Strokes Gained performances

  • This season Hodges' best Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee performance came at the Valero Texas Open in April 2024, as he produced a 2.510 mark, which ranked him in the field. He missed the cut in that event.
  • Hodges put up his best Strokes Gained: Approach performance this season at the Charles Schwab Challenge (May 2024), ranking sixth in the field with a mark of 4.454.
  • When it comes to Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, Hodges' best mark this season was at the Charles Schwab Challenge in May 2024, as he ranked 19th in the field with a mark of 2.054.
  • At THE PLAYERS Championship in March 2024, Hodges recorded his best Strokes Gained: Putting mark this season -- 3.803, which ranked him 19th in the field. He finished 35th in that event.
  • Hodges recorded his best Strokes Gained: Total mark this season (6.337) at the Charles Schwab Challenge (May 2024), which ranked him 12th in the field. He finished 12th in that event.

Hodges' Strokes Gained rankings

Hodges' past results.

All stats in this article are accurate for Hodges as of the start of the .

Note: The PGA TOUR has created this story via a machine-learning model using data from ShotLink , powered by CDW, in addition to player performance data. While we strive for accuracy and quality, please note that the information provided may not be entirely error-free.

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